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### Viewing cable 09KUWAIT760, GEN PETRAEUS AND KUWAITI DCOS ON IRAN, IRAQ, CT,

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Reference ID | Date | Classification | Origin
--- | --- | --- | ---
09KUWAIT760 | 2009-08-02 06:06 | SECRET | Embassy Kuwait

`

    VZCZCXRO2565
    PP RUEHBC RUEHDE RUEHDH RUEHDIR RUEHIHL RUEHKUK RUEHTRO
    DE RUEHKU #0760/01 2140656
    ZNY SSSSS ZZH
    P 020656Z AUG 09
    FM AMEMBASSY KUWAIT
    TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 3753
    INFO RUEHZM/GULF COOPERATION COUNCIL COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUCNIRA/IRAN COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RUCNRAQ/IRAQ COLLECTIVE PRIORITY
    RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC PRIORITY

` `

    S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 02 KUWAIT 000760

    SIPDIS

    NEA/ARP, NEA/RA

    E.O. 12958: DECL: 07/22/2019
    TAGS: PREL PGOV PTER MOPS KU IZ
    SUBJECT: GEN PETRAEUS AND KUWAITI DCOS ON IRAN, IRAQ, CT,
    YEMEN AND JOINT MILITARY EXERCISES

    REF: KUWAIT 724

    Classified By: DCM Tom Williams for reasons 1.4 b and d

    ¶1. (S) CENTCOM Commander GEN David Petraeus, accompanied by
    Ambassador, engaged in a wide-ranging exchange on the evening
    of July 22 with Kuwaiti Armed Forces Deputy Chief of Staff
    (DCOS) LTG Ahmed Khalid Al Sabah.  Key Points:

    -- (C) On Iraq, General Petraeus said the USG appreciates
    Kuwait's robust aid for our Iraq efforts; Kuwait's security
    remains a top U.S. priority, and we will coordinate closely
    on force outflows from Iraq.  The U.S. forces relied on
    support from Kuwait for our efforts in Afghanistan as well.
    Kuwait should remain open to engagement with Iraq as a means
    to help resolve disputes between the two countries and help
    Iraq achieve greater stability.  DCOS Al Sabah responded that
    Kuwait seeks to rebuild relations with Iraq and prefers that
    negotiations between Iraq and Kuwait on international
    disputes be under the UN aegis.

    -- (S) On Iran, Kuwait's head of Military Intelligence said
    the fate of Iran is in Supreme Leader Khamene'i's hands.  He
    must either compromise with Ayatollah Rafsanjani or continue
    to support President Ahmadinejad.  He assessed that the
    public had crossed the "fear line," and continued protests
    against the government were a possibility.  He thought it
    would be important to see the Supreme Leader's response to
    protests.  Continued unrest and government repression may be
    the catalyst that provokes Iranian security forces to crack
    down, align with the masses, or fracture.

    -- (C) On CT, General Petraeus noted USG appreciation for
    recent CT actions by Kuwait's Interior Ministry forces, and
    said passage of comprehensive anti-terror legislation would
    greatly facilitate further efforts.

    -- (C)  General Petraeus characterized the bilateral security
    relationship as strong, and welcomed the upcoming Joint
    Military Commission (JMC) in October, as well as Kuwait's
    continued participation in joint military exercises.

    Iraq
    ----

    ¶2.  (C) GEN Petraeus thanked the GOK for its support for
    Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) and its facilitation of U.S.
    forces deploying and redeploying through Kuwait.  He provided
    his congratulations on the results of the recent
    Parliamentary elections, noting in particular the election of
    four U.S.-educated women, and said that it was encouraging to
    see Kuwait's recent counter-terrorism progress.  Petraeus
    also thanked the GOK for its financial, reconstruction, and
    moral support for Iraq during OIF.  He urged that the GOK
    continue to remain open to negotiate disputes between Iraq
    and Kuwait, and hoped that such negotiations would be
    concluded successfully.  He assessed that with assistance
    from its Arab neighbors Iraq would "muddle through" towards
    stability.  Though establishing Iraqi stability absorbs a
    great amount of USG focus, he reassured the DCOS that Kuwaiti
    security would remain a priority for the U.S., and also
    promised that the U.S. would closely coordinate with the GOK
    on working through the logistics of support for the
    withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq through Kuwait.  GEN
    Petraeus said Iraqi PM Maliki's visit to Washington would
    provide an opportunity for discussion on issues of concern to
    Kuwait, such as compensation, borders, and recovering the
    remains of Kuwaiti prisoners still missing from the 1990
    invasion and Iraqi occupation.  General Petraeus briefed the
    DCOS on levels of violence in Iraq, noting that the surge of
    US forces, fighting side-by-side with Iraqi forces that now
    number nearly 650,000, has contributed greatly to growing
    stability.  U.S. combat forces have completed their
    withdrawal from Iraqi cities, although advisors and liaison
    elements remain along with joint coordination centers in
    Basra, Baghdad, and Mosul that provide the Iraqis with access
    to U.S. enablers and expertise.
    ¶3.  (C) In response, the DCOS -- who was personally held as a
    POW during the Iraqi invasion -- expressed a desire to
    rebuild relations with Iraq, but, echoing the policy of the
    GOK, said that all Kuwaiti-concerned negotiations with Iraq
    should be conducted under the auspices of the UN.  GEN
    Petraeus informed him, that in a recent conversation with
    Vice President Biden, he recommended that former Special
    Representative of the UN Secretary General Staffan de Mistura
    adjudicate the Iraq/Kuwait dispute.

    KUWAIT 00000760  002 OF 002

    Iran
    ----

    ¶4.  (S) BG Abdulrahman al-Hadhood, Chief of Kuwaiti Military
    Intelligence, in a frank discussion on Iran, asserted that
    the future of Iran, and its relations with its regional
    neighbors, is in the hands of Supreme Leader Grand Ayatollah
    Khamene'i.  The direction in which Khamene'i will lead Iran
    in this post-presidential election era will largely depend on
    whether he forges a compromise with Ayatollah Ali Akbar
    Rafsanjani or continues to pull the "puppet strings" of
    President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.  Al-Hadhoud said the Iranian
    public, in staging mass protests in the wake of the
    elections, had "crossed the fear line."  The next test for
    Iran will be to face the future reactions of the Iranian
    Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and to what extent the
    IRGC, the Basij militia, and the regular army are ordered to
    maintain security.  He questioned whether the IRGC would hold
    ranks with Khamene'i or begin to sympathize with the Iranian
    masses should further crackdowns be instigated, as happened
    with the Iranian Army when it fractured and many joined the
    mass student protests in the 1979 Islamic revolution.
    Al-Hadhoud predicted that such a tripwire to tip the balance
    would be the arrest of Presidential challenger Mir Housein
    Mousavi.  The DCOS also mentioned Kuwaiti understanding that
    Iran was supporting Shi'a in the Gulf and extremists in
    Yemen.  GEN Petraeus asked for assistance in determining if
    Iran was, in particular, supporting the al-Houthi in Yemen.

    ¶5.  (S) GEN Petraeus assured the DCOS that the US military is
    "very capable" and is fully prepared for various
    contingencies should unrest escalate or Iran become more
    unpredictable.  He added that the US military is assisting
    Gulf states in shoring up ballistic missile and counter air
    defenses, as well as early warning systems in the eventuality
    of an Iranian missile launch.  He encouraged the GOK to
    consider establishing a regional "Center for Excellence for
    Air and Missile Defense," -- complementing the UAE's Gulf Air
    Warfare Center -- which would focus on air and missile
    defense and on the interoperability of systems such as the
    PAC-III Kuwait now has deployed.

    Counterterrorism
    ----------------

    ¶6.  (S) GEN Petraeus congratulated the DCOS on the success of
    GOK security forces in counterterrorism (CT) operations in
    recent months, citing Kuwaiti crackdowns on individuals of
    "mutual concern."  He conveyed to the DCOS that passage of
    comprehensive CT legislation would greatly facilitate further
    cooperation in this critical area.  General Petraeus observed
    that Kuwait, based on its experience with extremists, should
    recognize that such elements will ultimately turn to
    targeting Kuwait.

    Mil-Mil:  Joint training and JMC
    --------------------------------

    ¶7.  (C) GEN Petraeus told the DCOS that the bilateral Defense
    Cooperation Agreement (signed in 1991, renewed in 2001) had
    proved mutually beneficial and that the USG is inclined to
    renew it in 2011.  He also said that he was looking forward
    to the October JMC to discuss with Kuwaiti COS LTG Fahad
    al-Amir Kuwaiti concerns over the FMS program and the
    possibility of creating a regional air and missile
    defense center of excellence in Kuwait.  He also noted the
    receipt and approval of a Kuwaiti request for an avionics and
    weapon systems upgrade, and encouraged Kuwaiti participation
    in joint military exercises like Eager Mace and Bright Star.
    He also offered to help in the coordination of an Eagle
    Resolve exercise, should the GOK desire to host it.  In
    addition, he encouraged Kuwait to send its special operations
    forces to Jordan's King Abdullah II Special Operations
    Training Center and its fighter-attack aircraft to the UAE's
    Gulf Air Warfare Training Center.

    ¶8.  (U) GEN Petraeus has cleared this cable.

    ********************************************* *********
    For more reporting from Embassy Kuwait, visit:
    visit Kuwait's Classified Website at:

    http://www.intelink.sgov.gov/wiki/Portal:Kuwa it
    ********************************************* *********
    WILLIAMS

`